Table 7

Predictors of post-ERCP cholangitis

VariableCholangitis (n=21)No cholangitis (n=1058)OR95% CIP value
Clinical
Age
 <40 years22160.410.09 to 1.780.23
 40–70 years145801.650.66 to 4.120.28
 >70 years52620.950.35 to 2.620.92
Sex
 Male63920.490.19 to 1.210.12
 Female15666Reference groupReference group
ASA grade
 I0191.240.07 to 21.20.88
 II63210.920.35 to 2.390.86
 III104721.130.48 to 2.680.78
 IV and V51521.860.67 to 5.160.23
Ethnicity
 Afro-Caribbean124661.690.71 to 4.050.24
 African American53790.560.20 to 1.540.26
 White0450.520.03 to 8.690.65
 Other41681.250.41 to 3.750.7
Suspected or known malignant stricture6745.322.0 to 14.10.001
Primary sclerosing cholangitis054.450.24 to 83.10.32
Procedural
ASGE complexity grade
 131650.920.26 to 3.220.9
 295520.680.27 to 1.720.41
 361682.250.84 to 6.090.11
 40400.590.04 to 9.980.72
HOUSE complexity score
 197670.280.11 to 0.710.01
 271662.961.15 to 7.640.03
 33762.30.66 to 8.080.19
Antibiotics before procedure124482.230.71 to 6.980.17
Incomplete biliary drainage4673.481.14 to 10.60.03
Biliary stent placement31610.930.27 to 3.190.91
  • ERCP, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.