Table 3

Base-case lifetime cost-effectiveness analysis

StrategyTotalIncremental vs conventional therapyFully incremental
QALYsCosts (£)QALYsCosts (£)ICERQALYsCosts (£)ICER
TNFi-naïve subgroup
 Conventional8.991£132 349N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
 Adalimumab9.191£138 5340.200£6185£30 982Extendedly dominated
 Golimumab9.286£141 3600.294£9012£30 602Extendedly dominated
 Infliximab9.346£145 6600.355£13 311£37 495Dominated
 Vedolizumab9.462£152 6940.471£20 345£43 205Dominated
 Tofacitinib9.536£143 9630.544£11 615£21 3880.544£11 615£21 338
TNFi-exposed subgroup
 Conventional8.903£132 712N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
 Adalimumab9.051£137 0350.148£4324£29 284Extendedly dominated
 Infliximab9.051£140 6610.148*£7949£53 831Dominated
 Golimumab9.051£138 0880.148*£5376£36 403Extendedly dominated
 Vedolizumab9.146£145 3800.242£12 668£52 275Dominated
 Tofacitinib9.240£140 3990.337£7687£22 8160.337£7132£22 816
Scenario analysis: Overall ITT population†
 Conventional8.948£132 508N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
 Vedolizumab9.301£147 8220.352£15 314£43 485Dominated
 Tofacitinib9.397£141 5000.449£8991£20 0380.449£8991£20 038
  • *In the absence of evidence for golimumab or infliximab in the TNFi-exposed population, a class-effect was assumed and adalimumab values were used.

  • †NMA results are presented in the supplement.

  • ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; ITT, intention-to-treat; NA, not applicable; QALY, quality-adjusted life year; TNFi, tumour necrosis factor inhibitor; TOF, tofacitinib.