Table 4

Risk of gastrointestinal cancers among 1-year patients with breast cancer, by subgroups

Observed/expectedIncidence rate per 100 000 person years (95% CI)Standardised incidence ratio (95% CI)
Upper gastrointestinal cancers
Age group
 18–49 years40/2323 (16 to 30)1.72 (1.23 to 2.35)
 50–69 years164/13643 (36 to 50)1.21 (1.03 to 1.41)
 ≥70 years75/6368 (53 to 84)1.18 (0.93 to 1.48)
Breast cancer stage
 Localised151/13838 (32 to 44)1.09 (0.93 to 1.28)
 Regional128/8448 (40 to 56)1.52 (1.27 to 1.81)
Oestrogen receptor status*
 Positive124/10540 (33 to 47)1.18 (0.98 to 1.40)
 Negative26/1941 (25 to 56)1.40 (0.91 to 2.05)
 Unknown50/3942 (30 to 54)1.28 (0.95 to 1.69)
HER2 status*
 Positive5/257 (7 to 106)2.16 (0.70 to 5.04)
 Negative12/1133 (15 to 52)1.08 (0.56 to 1.89)
 Unknown183/15041 (35 to 47)1.22 (1.05 to 1.41)
Lower gastrointestinal cancers
Age group
 18–49 years149/11985 (72 to 99)1.25 (1.06 to 1.47)
 50–69 years861/777225 (210 to 240)1.11 (1.04 to 1.18)
 ≥70 years419/404381 (344 to 417)1.04 (0.94 to 1.14)
Breast cancer stage
 Localised864/811217 (202 to 231)1.07 (1.00 to 1.14)
 Regional565/490211 (194 to 229)1.15 (1.06 to 1.25)
Oestrogen receptor status*
 Positive715/623230 (213 to 247)1.15 (1.06 to 1.23)
 Negative123/108193 (159 to 227)1.14 (0.95 to 1.36)
 Unknown243/229204 (179 to 230)1.06 (0.93 to 1.20)
HER2 status*
 Positive22/13249 (145 to 353)1.68 (1.05 to 2.54)
 Negative76/64212 (164 to 259)1.19 (0.94 to 1.49)
 Unknown983/883219 (205 to 233)1.11 (1.04 to 1.18)
Other gastrointestinal cancers
Age group
 18–49 years46/3526 (19 to 34)1.32 (0.96 to 1.75)
 50–69 years252/24966 (58 to 74)1.01 (0.89 to 1.15)
 ≥70 years118/125107 (88 to 127)0.94 (0.78 to 1.13)
Breast cancer stage
 Localised264/25566 (58 to 74)1.04 (0.92 to 1.17)
 Regional152/15457 (48 to 66)0.99 (0.84 to 1.16)
Oestrogen receptor status*
 Positive196/19463 (54 to 72)1.01 (0.87 to 1.16)
 Negative39/3461 (42 to 80)1.16 (0.83 to 1.59)
 Unknown66/7256 (42 to 69)0.92 (0.71 to 1.17)
HER2 status*
 Positive23 (0 to 54)0.50 (0.06 to 1.81)
 Negative16/1945 (23 to 66)0.84 (0.48 to 1.36)
 Unknown63 (56 to 70)1.03 (0.91 to 1.15)
  • *Restricted to 1996 onwards due to limitations in data availability.

  • †Observed and expected numbers are not reported due to too few events.

  • HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2.